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Saturday, December 13, 2025

World's 1st climate migrant treaty enacted; as Tuvalu islands sink by 2050, 280 residents a year already relocating to Australia; Down to Earth channel 3.5 min Dec 13 vlog w transcript at Heating Planet blog

Australia will take in 280 residents of Pacific Island nation Tuvalu each year ithe world's first formal climate migration agreement, a pathway that could see the entire nation resettled within decades. READ & WATCH: Tuvalu’s First Climate Migrants Arrive in Australia, World's First Climate Migration Treaty- transcript follows[Down To Earth- Latest news, opinion, analysis on environment and science issues, from India since 2013]

The smallest nations, those least responsible for the climate crisis, continue to bear its heaviest costs.This injustice is stark in Tuvalu, a small Pacific island nation whose first climate migrants have now relocated to Australia, leaving behind their homes and communities as their country faces the risk of disappearing. Scientists warn that Tuvalu’s long-term survival remains deeply uncertain under current global emissions trends. NASA projections show that in a worst-case scenario of two metres of sea-level rise, as much as 90% of Funafuti, the main atoll where most Tuvaluans live, could be underwater by 2050.

TRANSCRIPT

The smallest nations, those least responsible for the climate crisis, continue to bear its heaviest costs. This injustice is stark in Tuvalu, a small Pacific island nation whose first climate migrants have now relocated to Australia, leaving behind their homes and communities as their country faces the risk of disappearing. Before we get into the details of this story, please take a moment to subscribe to our channel down to earth for regular coverage on environment and development.

Tuvalu home to just 11,000 people, is among world's most climate vulnerable nations. Its nine low-lying atolls sit about 2 meters above sea level scattered across the Pacific between Australia and Hawaii. Saltwater intrusion, extreme tides, and several coastal erosions have already pushed some communities inland, even as the government races to reclaim land to keep parts of the country habitable.

1.03

Scientists have warned Tuvalu's long-term survival remains deeply uncertain under current global emissions trend. NASA projections show that in a worst case scenario of 2 meters of sea level rise, as much as 90% of Fanafuti, the main atoll where most Tuvalians live could be underwater by 2050. Against this backdrop, more than onethird of Tuvalu's population has applied for a new climate visa to Australia under Australia Tuvalu's Felipe Union, the world's first formal climate migration agreement. Australia will take in 280 Tuvalians each year, a pathway that could see the entire nation resettled within a few decades.

The agreement guarantees towalians access to education, healthcare, disability support and family benefits along with settlement assistance to help them integrate. The visa is open to everyone, children, the elderly, and people with disabilities or chronic health conditions, making it one of the few pathways designed to support those who might otherwise be unable to leave high-risk climate zones.

2.12

Among the first to make the move are Tuvalu's first female forklift driver, a dentist, and a pastor. Community figures now preparing to rebuild their lives thousands of kilometers from home. They hope to find work in Australia to support both their families back in Tuvalu and their new communities. Support services are already being set up to help them settle in Melbourne, Adelaide, and Queensland.

But can this really be a model for climate migration? Tuvalu had to agree to give Australia influence over its security and defense, a trade-off most countries would refuse. And unlike most vulnerable countries, Tuvalu's population is tiny. 10,000 people are easy for Australia to absorb.

Globally, an estimated 25 million to 1 billion people could be displaced by 2050 due to climate stress. Where will they go? Ultimately, the only real solution is to prevent further warming by cutting global emissions. Yet, these continue to rise. Until that changes, the world's smallest nations will keep paying the biggest price. FIN
[KE: Everything climate scientists predicted about global warming/ climate change since the 1970s is coming true, only faster]

Iraq flood & drought at same time- Euphrates runs dry as Kurdistan underwater; WION 5-min Dec 12, report w transcript at Heating Planet blog

Iraq is dealing with the dual impacts of climate change, as deadly floods sweep across the northern regions while the south faces a worsening water crisis. As some regions grapple with drought, torrential rains have caused widespread destruction near Kurdistan leading to multiple fatalities and displacement of thousands. READ & WATCH Iraq Faces Climate Change Fury: Deadly Floods, Water Crisis- transcript belowar
[WION -The World is One News from India since 2016]
TRANSCRIPT

And Iraq is facing a dual climate disaster. Devastating floods in the north and central regions and a deepening water crisis in the south. From bridges collapsing under torrential rains to ancient lakes shrinking into craters, the country is grappling with extremes that lay bare the full force of a warming planet. Take a look at this next report for more details.

Heavy rains have brought deadly floods to Iraq's Kurdistan region, killing at least two people and injuring four others in Chamchamal district. Officials say two children are still missing after torrents of water swept through Sulimania province, submerging streets and damaging homes. The impact spread far beyond the north. 

**The rain was heavy and the flooding was powerful and entered our homes. As you can see, the water came into the house and we have nothing left. We suffered heavy damage inside the house. Nothing remains. No refrigerator, no freezer, no household items. Nothing is left from our home,***

In Tus Kurmatu, a bridge linking Baghdad and Kirkuk collapsed under the force and speed of floodwaters. According to local authorities, cities across Iraq saw roads turn into rivers, including Hiller in Babylon province, where residents worked through the water to clear out their homes.

1.50

In Baghdad, a thick blanket of fog added to the disruption, forcing a temporary shutdown of the capital's international airport. But even as some parts of Iraq are overwhelmed by water, others are being strangled by the lack of it. Nearby Iran saw rainfall for the first time in months, a brief relief for a country in severe drought.

In Tehran, the government sponsored billboards reportedly call on the public not to use garden hoses outside to avoid waste. And in southern Iraq, the climate crisis is even more visible. Workers at Lake Najaf, once a crucial water source, now shovel salt from exposed lake beds that have lost over 10,000 acres of surface water.

Environmentalists say it is a stark symbol of Iraq's broader water collapse driven by upstream damming, mismanagement, and relentlessly declining rainfall.

**Water could return provided the Iraqi government reaches an agreement with the Turkish government. Even if it does return, three lakes will need 2 years to fill up. Only after those two years, water might reach the southern region.**

3.18

**When salinity level in the river increases, the proportion of bacteria and fungi also increases and the concentration of toxic and harmful heavy metals will rise, negatively affecting our health.**

The Euphrates, one of the cradles of human civilization, could run dry as early as 2040. For communities whose livelihoods depend on agriculture and livestock, that would be devastating. And then there is Lake Sawa, a 5,000-year-old natural wonder in Al-Mutana Province. Once a thriving ecosystem of fish, shrimp, and migratory birds, it has now shrunk to just a fraction of its size. In April, it dried up completely. Today, only a small pond remains in the middle of a massive crater. Local residents remember when the lake was full, a place for swimming, picnics, and boat rides. Now, the desert has swallowed what was once a stable, protected wetland that helped regulate the region's climate.

Iraq stands between two extremes. Catastrophic flooding in parts of the country and a deepening water crisis in others. A land that survived thousands of years of civilizations is now being reshaped by climate change in real time. FINIS
[KE: Everything climate scientists predicted about global warming/ climate change since the 1970s is coming true, only faster]

Big Oil: 60 years of climate disinformation- Al Jazeera The Listening Post 8-min Nov 23 report w transcript, Heating Planet blog

"Climate activists battle decades of coordinated greenwashing by some of the world’s biggest fossil fuel companies, efforts that continue to delay and undermine meaningful progress at this critical moment." READ & WATCH The Listening Post transcript follows[Al Jazeera]

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RECENT RELEVANT at Heating Planet

Post COP 1 of 2: w/1600 lobbyists, fossil fuel not mentioned in outcome statement, Thursday fire was a metaphor- Democracy Now 21 Nov report w transcript, Heating Planet blog- Vanuatu: We had over 80 states. The presidency basically said we will not mention fossil fuels https://cityofangels25.blogspot.com/2025/11/post-cop-w1600-lobbyists-fossil-fuel.html

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Often they say that when you learn that you've been lied to, your understanding of the world changes. And this is really the point we are at. We are now understanding that we've been lied to time and over again about the main cause of climate change in the context of climate change, women, indigenous peoples. My name is Elisa Morera. I'm the UN special reporter on climate change and human rights. And my role is to clarify state obligations to protect human rights in the context of climate change.

You the parties now stand to promote the effective implementation of the convention. The United States has agreed to reduce the output of so-called greenhouse gases by 7%. There are those who argue this will make US business less competitive. More than 10,000 delegates, including scientists, government officials, and activists are taking part in COP 15. The talks called COP 19 come after last year's round saw little progress on a green climate fund. There are not very many heads of state or government. What does that say about how these talks are seen and how seriously the issues are being treated?

At the COP 30 climate summit officially opened in Brazil last month. It is really significant that after 30 years of cops, we catching up what has been at least 60 years of climate disinformation, there was in fact put in place over time with evolving strategies by the fossil fuel industry. And the realization has been that 60 years of that disinformation has made progress on climate change very very difficult. So in my report this year to the human rights council, I have relied on a large body of independent research that has called out the playbook of climate obstruction by the fossil fuel industry. It is very deeply embedded in PR and advertising. In fact, we don't realize that we are exposed daily, if not more, to advertising either directly or indirectly related to the fossil fuel industry.

**Our premium products, industry-leading technology, and friendly hospitality help you go the extra mile. Shell experts are working on a wind project that could power 6 million homes.** Let's think about like sports sponsorship as well. Most of our major international events have sponsorship from fossil fuel companies. The messaging we're getting is that we can't live without fossil fuels that there is no real alternative. That may be very dangerous that may not allow us to live in a prosperous ways.

The industry already had back then their own scientists telling them that their activities would lead to climate change to a planetary crisis. And they still decided not only to go ahead with their activities to this day. We're expanding fossil fuel extraction everywhere in the world and to keep the public away from this information. And not only that, but actually actively disinforming them.

So it will take them longer and longer and longer to figure out that direct link between fossil fuels and this planetary crisis of climate change, nature loss, toxic pollution and crucially economic inequality.

The fossil fuel industry has also exerted significant influence on academia and research. This is also part of the playbook and a way to disinform and misinform the public. On the one hand, they have attacked and smeared climate scientists, but on the other hand, they have also manufactured science that is not accurate. And this has happened through funding to universities to think tanks with strings attached asking them to produce research for instance on either giving a sense that there are some benefits to certain fossil fuels or that there is a way for the fossil fuel industry still to contribute to what they call transitional fuels which serves to distract from that imperative a scientific imperative and in fact legal imperative of phasing out fossil fuels.

There's been also investigative journalism really tracing down to seven major media companies who were not only supporting fossil fuel advertising but in fact producing themselves in-house content for fossil fuel companies. So clearly these are all like very complimentary and misleading practices. They really keep make even experts struggle to get to the truth. In my report, I mentioned also a few recommendations around criminalizing actions related to disinformation, including potentially for PR firms and media.

***************

RECENT RELEVANT at Heating Planet

COP30 No agreement likely, oil producers treated same as drowning island nations- Could COP31 be done by email instead? VEJA+ Brazil Nov 21 news report w transcript, Heating Planet blog https://cityofangels25.blogspot.com/2025/11/cop30-no-agreement-likely-oil-interest.html

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It is a very bold recommendation and it's really meant to start a debate into understanding how we can create a stronger framework of accountability and the idea is really showing that on the one hand of course we need to protect freedom of expression. Everyone who has their positions or doubts about climate science and about climate action is free to share this. But this point about preventing climate disinformation is about the undue commercial influence in our public debates.

So in my report I used the term defossilized knowledge and information systems and this was really to show that we need to be very proactive in responding to the playbook but also we need governments to create legislation around of course greenwashing but also requiring all private actors to be transparent about any funding they may receive from fossil fuel companies.

We have a human right to information. The information needs to be trustworthy and it needs to allow all of us to understand whether our governments and whether companies are truly considering our human rights. Media, big tech, PR companies who may still be working with fossil fuel companies. 

hey should be aware that you are essentially contributing to human rights harm and to the prevention of the protection of everyone's human rights in the context of the climate crisis.

[KE: Everything climate scientists predicted about global warming/ climate change since the 1970s is coming true, only faster][except our weird politics in 2025]

Friday, December 12, 2025

Floods within days in Iraq, Ireland, WA state & England- Indonesian vlogger cites "situation growing more concerning" tvOneNews Update Dec 11 post w transcript, Heating Planet blog

In Washington state a river overflows with strong currents Dec 11; in York, England Dec 9 streets along the river flood after Storm Bram hits the country; a bridge connecting Baghdad and Kirkuk collapses on 10 December after massive flooding strikes the Tuz Khurmatu district; 9 Dec streets in Ireland submerged. READ & WATCH The U.S. & Europe Struck by Floods, Situation Growing More Concerning! transcript below [tvOnenews Pada mulanya adalah kehendak menjangkau khalayak lebih luas. Sebuah televisi berita, iliki banyak video peristiwa terbaru, telah disampaikan lebih cepat di layar kaca, --yang membuatnya ada di top of mind khalayak luas, lalu memerlukan kanal untuk menampung gambar bagi pemirsanya selama 24 jam. Namun. dalam perkembangannya, kami bertumbuh lebih cepat dari yang kami bayangkan. Having a lot of videos of the latest events, they have been delivered faster on the screen, which makes them top of mind for a wider audience, then requires a channel to accommodate images for viewers 24 hours a day. However, in its development, we grew faster than we imagined -from  Indonesia Joined Feb 24, 2015 2.66M subscribers 42,716 videos]

TRANSCRIPT

Drone footage released by police in Washington [state USA] shows the Puyallup river overflowing with strong currents near the North Meridian Bridge on Wednesday 9th December after a weather forecaster issue a flood warning for the area. According to police, the warning means fluid conditions are imminent with moderate to heavy rain expected to continue through Thursday 10 December. Police say they were checking on residents living near the river and advising some to evacuate while urging drivers to be aware of standing water on roads near the Puyallup River and lowlying areas known to be prone to flooding. The river walk trail along the river remains closed until further notice and public works crew are monitoring conditions as the river continues to rise. 

[footage]

2.00

Streets along the riverside in the city of York, England were also flooded on Wednesday, 10 December after storm Bram hit the country. The storm brought heavy rain and strong winds of up to 100 MPH. Floating and travel disruption were reported with buses, flights, and trains delay or cancelled. Roads were closed and several accidents were also reported.

Although several weather warnings have been issued earlier in the week, Bram is now located over Northern England. Part of a bridge connecting Baghdad and Kirkuk even collapsed on Wednesday 10 December after massive flooding struck the two screw Mati district street.

3.00

The director of roads and bridges in Kirkuk. Ali Akbar, say the collapse was caused by the strength and speed of flood water striking the bridge to parting pillars.

Heavy rain that began on Tuesday 9 December triggered widespread flooding that submerged roads and damaged homes across Ireland. [Music] END
-Very Interesting

Australia's bushfires are back and deadly- "Money can't stop what's happening in the atmosphere"- Earth Unleashed channel 14-min Dec 12 video w transcript at Heating Planet blog

Right now over fifty fires are burning across Australia, turning the continent into a war zone. The bushfire crisis gripping New South Wales and Tasmania in December 2025 is a story of destruction, climate breakdown, and heroic emergency services personnel. The  situation is extreme. Temps are spiking to 40 degrees C  (104 F) with winds screaming at 100 kms (62 m) per hour. Read & Watch: WARNING: Australia's DEADLY Bushfires Are Back![Earth Unleashed Joined YT Oct 18, 2025 3.57K subscribers 50 videos]
********** 

TRANSCRIPT Dec 12 2025

Over 50 fires are burning across Australia. The ground is baking at 104 degrees Fahrenheit. Winds are howling at 62 mph. And in the past 24 hours, 19 homes have been reduced to ash in a single blaze. One firefighter is dead. Hundreds more are racing against time to contain an inferno that experts are calling unprecedented.

This isn't a warning anymore. Australia is burning again.

December 8th, 2025. A 700 hectare fire, that's 1,030 acres, tears through Dolphin Sands, Tasmania, 150 km northeast of Hobart. In hours, 19 homes are gone, 40 more damaged, 122 assets destroyed. Sheds, water tanks, garages, entire livelihoods wiped out.

**********

Corroboration https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/dec/12/weather-tracker-australia-bushfires-most-dangerous-since-black-summer

***************

The speed is terrifying. Residents barely have time to flee. 

Rochelle Duce watches her partner scramble barefoot onto their roof, desperately fighting flames with a garden hose. He's up there trying and trying, and I'm screaming at him to come down, she later tells reporters, her voice breaking. Everything's in it. His grandmother's stuff, his mother's stuff, all my stuff. Everything. It's all gone. The whole lot.

1.15

Meanwhile, across New South Wales, more than 50 active bushfires rage simultaneously. The central coast is under siege. 16 homes destroyed in a matter of hours. Four more lost in Buladela. Over 300 firefighters are battling blazes that meteorologists describe as fastm moving. Fire service code for unstoppable. Then comes the news that stops everyone cold. A firefighter, a man who ran toward the flames to save others, is struck by a falling tree and killed instantly. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's words cut through the chaos. This terrible news is a somber reminder of the dangers faced by emergency services personnel as they work to protect homes and families.

Natural disaster declarations are activated. Emergency funds flow. But money can't stop what's happening underground in the atmosphere, in the very physics of fire itself. The numbers tell a story of a continent at war with itself.

Temperatures are spiking to 40° C. That's 104° F across vast stretches of New South Wales. Winds are screaming at 100 kmph or 62 mph, turning every ember into a missile, every spark into an explosion. But here's what makes this truly terrifying. Australia's baseline temperature has already risen 1.5° C since 1910. That's 2.7° F of permanent warming baked into the system. Fire seasons that once lasted three months now stretch for seven months or longer. Scientists are using phrases like almost year round occurrence when describing fire danger.

2.58

The physics of these fires defies comprehension. Flames reach 30 to 40 m high. That's 100 to 130 ft of pure destruction, taller than a 10-story building. The heat generates its own weather systems called pyro-cumulaninous nimbus clouds. fire thunderstorms that spawn lightning and create new fires kilometers away. The sound is described as a freight train or jet engine with constant explosions as trees literally detonate from superheated sap.

Tasmania's fire services commissioner Jeremy Smith captures the impossible conditions. We had well over a 100 km winds and fires under those conditions are extremely difficult to control, combat, and extinguish. These aren't just fires. They're atmospheric monsters feeding on drought, heat, and eucalyptus forests evolved to burn. Satellite data shows something unprecedented. During the 2019 to 2020 Black Summer fires, smoke traveled 11,000 km. That's 6,835 m detected over South America.

The fires burned so hot and so vast they altered weather patterns across the Pacific Ocean. Behind every statistic is a human life hanging in the balance. Right now, tens of thousands of Australians are living within evacuation zones. Their cars packed, their phones charged, waiting for the call that could come at any moment.

It's too late to leave.

The central coast of New South Wales, home to over 330,000 people, sits directly in the path of multiple active fires. Families are watching smoke columns rise from their bedroom windows. Children are asking their parents why the sky is orange at noon. Elderly residents, many with limited mobility, are being warned they may need to shelter in place if evacuation becomes impossible.

5.00

In Tasmania, entire communities have been cut off. Dolphin Sands residents have been told not to return home. There may not be homes to return to. Emergency centers are filled with families clutching photo albums and family pets. Everything else reduced to memory.

One Kulawong resident standing in the ashes of what was once his life tells reporters, "We start again. We've lost everything. What we've got left is what we're wearing." His voice doesn't break. There's no emotion left, just hollow acceptance.

**********

RECENT RELEVANT https://cityofangels25.blogspot.com/2025/12/australia-heat-fires-as-summer-2026.html

*********************

Federal MP Gordon Reed puts it simply, "That's people's lives. That's people's livelihoods." But the numbers make it real. During the Black Summer Fires of 2019 2020, 65,000 people were displaced in New South Wales alone. Thousands were evacuated by naval ships from beaches where they sheltered for days as fires raged behind them and ocean stretched endlessly ahead.

The experts are choosing their words carefully, but their alarm is unmistakable. Emergency Management Minister Christy McBain speaks with quiet reverence about firefighters. WH run towards bushfires to protect not only property but livestock and livelihoods. There's something in her tone the way she emphasizes run towards that suggests she knows what they're truly running into.

Climate scientists are no longer hedging their warnings. Associate Professor Paul Ridd issues a direct alert. The fires burning in the WA Kimberly and central NS dollar's coast should be watched carefully as a signal to the rest of Australia as we head into the peak danger period over January. When scientists use words like signal and peak danger period, they're not talking about seasonal variations. They're talking about systemic collapse.

7.00

NSW recovery minister Janelle Saffin frames the current crisis with careful precision. While we continue to contain the fires that have impacted communities across NS dollars, our priority is also to support those people whose homes and livelihoods have been impacted. Notice the word continue. This isn't an emergency response. It's an ongoing war. One volunteer firefighter with 20 years of experience told reporters during the Black Summer Fires, "I've never seen fires this fierce. They create their own storms."

When veterans describe conditions as unprecedented, it's not hyperbole. It's a professional assessment of forces beyond human control. The pattern is unmistakable and accelerating.

3 years ago, fire seasons followed predictable patterns. 2 years ago, those patterns began breaking down. Last year, fires burned in months when the landscape should have been wet. This year, December fires are raging with summer intensity, while spring hasn't even ended. The data shows a terrifying trend.

In October 2023, Anistales recorded 87 fires in a single day. Emergency declarations that once marked rare extreme events are becoming routine administrative procedures. Fire danger ratings that were once reserved for the worst days of summer now flash across screens in what should be the cooler months.

The window for safe prescribed burning, the controlled fires used to reduce fuel loads, is shrinking rapidly. Traditional burnoff periods are now interrupted by extended danger periods where any spark could trigger disaster. Fire services describe seasonal patterns as increasingly ignored by outofse severe fires.

8.40

Weather systems are becoming more volatile. El Nino conditions are driving early heat waves and elevated fire risk months ahead of the traditional danger period. The Bureau of Meteorology reports extreme fire weather days are becoming more frequent and intense across the continent. What's happening now isn't seasonal variation. It's systematic breakdown of the climate patterns that made Australia predictable for thousands of years.

The last time Australia faced fires this devastating was Black Summer 2019 to 2020. 7 months of continuous burning. 33 people dead. Over 3,000 homes destroyed. An area the size of the entire United Kingdom consumed by flames. 19 to 24.3 million hectares burned across the continent. Those fires redefined what was possible.

NASA satellites tracked smoke plumes circling the globe. Naval vessels evacuated thousands from beaches as entire towns disappeared behind walls of flame. The insurance industry paid out $2.4 billion Australian dollars. That's $1.6 billion US. And experts estimate the total economic damage exceeded 10 billion.

9.55

Black Summer was described as a once in many decades event, the kind of disaster that comes once in a lifetime, maybe twice. That was 5 years ago. Official alert levels remain carefully measured, but the response tells a different story. Natural disaster declarations are active across multiple regions. Over 300 firefighters are deployed on the central coast alone. Numbers typically reserved for the height of summer emergencies. The NS Adidal's Rural Fire Service maintains 70,000 volunteers on standby. A peacetime army waiting for orders. Emergency management centers are operating around the clock. Evacuation centers remain open, their parking lots filled with cars packed with possessions and pets.

Behind the measured language of official statements, the preparation is telling. Federal disaster assistance funding has been activated. Military assets are positioned for rapid deployment. International firefighting resources are on alert. The same networks that responded during Black Summer are quietly mobilizing. Weather forecasts show damaging winds continuing across Tasmania with some NS. Towns expected to exceed 40° C. That's 104° F. These aren't seasonal peaks. These are December temperatures that would be extreme in the height of summer.

Fire services describe current conditions as extremely challenging. When professionals WH fight fires for a living, call conditions extremely challenging, citizens should be afraid. The scenarios range from manageable to catastrophic, and no one can predict which path these fires will take. Best case, weather patterns shift, temperatures drop, and current fires are contained without further loss of life or property. Communities begin the long process of recovery and rebuilding.

But the worst case scenarios keep fire chiefs awake at night. If winds strengthen and temperatures continue rising, the current fires could merge into mega blazes, covering thousands of square kilometers. Pyroucumulan nimbus storms could spawn lightning strikes that ignite new fires faster than crews can respond.

Tasmania faces particular vulnerability. The island's unique alpine ecosystems and fires sensitive rainforests have evolved without regular fire exposure. If current blazes spread into these areas, entire ecological systems could face permanent change, not recovery, but transformation into something entirely different. NS Hollywood's central coast sits between ocean and wilderness, a geographic trap that limits evacuation routes.

If multiple fires converge, hundreds of thousands of people could face the same impossible choice that Black Summer survivors remember. Flee to the beaches and hope naval rescue arrives in time.

Climate scientists warn that Australia has entered an era where extreme fire seasons are becoming normal. What's happening now may not be an emergency. It may be the new baseline. This story has no ending because the threat never stops. As of this recording, over 50 fires continue burning. Weather conditions remain extreme. Evacuation warnings stay active across multiple regions. Emergency crews work in shifts because the danger doesn't sleep. The deeper truth is even more unsettling.

Australia's fire problem isn't seasonal anymore. It's permanent. The 1.5° temperature increase since 1910 has fundamentally altered the continent's fire behavior. Eucalyptus forests designed to burn now burn too hot and too often for their own survival. Fire services openly discuss almost year round occurrence of significant fire danger. The traditional fire season in December to March has stretched into a fire year that pauses briefly for winter before resuming its assault. Recovery periods between major fires are shrinking while fire intensity continues growing.

Every day these fires burn, they pump more carbon into the atmosphere, accelerating the warming that makes the next fire season more deadly. And it's a feedback loop without a clear exit. Fires causing climate change, causing more fires, causing more climate change. The question facing Australia isn't when these fires will end. It's whether they'll ever truly end again. Right now, smoke is rising across Australia. Families are evacuating. Firefighters are dying. And the conditions that created this disaster are getting worse, not better. This isn't over. It's just beginning. Stay alert. Keep watching because Australia is still burning. END
Dec 12 2025

Over 50 fires are burning across Australia. The ground is baking at 104 degrees Fahrenheit. Winds are howling at 62 mph. And in the past 24 hours, 19 homes have been reduced to ash in a single blaze. One firefighter is dead. Hundreds more are racing against time to contain an inferno that experts are calling unprecedented.

This isn't a warning anymore. Australia is burning again.

December 8th, 2025. A 700 hectare fire, that's 1,030 acres, tears through Dolphin Sands, Tasmania, 150 km northeast of Hobart. In hours, 19 homes are gone, 40 more damaged, 122 assets destroyed. Sheds, water tanks, garages, entire livelihoods wiped out.

The speed is terrifying. Residents barely have time to flee. 

Rochelle Duce watches her partner scramble barefoot onto their roof, desperately fighting flames with a garden hose. He's up there trying and trying, and I'm screaming at him to come down, she later tells reporters, her voice breaking. Everything's in it. His grandmother's stuff, his mother's stuff, all my stuff. Everything. It's all gone. The whole lot.

1.15

Meanwhile, across New South Wales, more than 50 active bushfires rage simultaneously. The central coast is under siege. 16 homes destroyed in a matter of hours. Four more lost in Buladela. Over 300 firefighters are battling blazes that meteorologists describe as fastm moving. Fire service code for unstoppable. Then comes the news that stops everyone cold. A firefighter, a man who ran toward the flames to save others, is struck by a falling tree and killed instantly. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's words cut through the chaos. This terrible news is a somber reminder of the dangers faced by emergency services personnel as they work to protect homes and families.

Natural disaster declarations are activated. Emergency funds flow. But money can't stop what's happening underground in the atmosphere, in the very physics of fire itself. The numbers tell a story of a continent at war with itself.

Temperatures are spiking to 40° C. That's 104° F across vast stretches of New South Wales. Winds are screaming at 100 kmph or 62 mph, turning every ember into a missile, every spark into an explosion. But here's what makes this truly terrifying. Australia's baseline temperature has already risen 1.5° C since 1910. That's 2.7° F of permanent warming baked into the system. Fire seasons that once lasted three months now stretch for seven months or longer. Scientists are using phrases like almost year round occurrence when describing fire danger.

2.58

The physics of these fires defies comprehension. Flames reach 30 to 40 m high. That's 100 to 130 ft of pure destruction, taller than a 10-story building. The heat generates its own weather systems called pyro-cumulaninous nimbus clouds. fire thunderstorms that spawn lightning and create new fires kilometers away. The sound is described as a freight train or jet engine with constant explosions as trees literally detonate from superheated sap.

Tasmania's fire services commissioner Jeremy Smith captures the impossible conditions. We had well over a 100 km winds and fires under those conditions are extremely difficult to control, combat, and extinguish. These aren't just fires. They're atmospheric monsters feeding on drought, heat, and eucalyptus forests evolved to burn. Satellite data shows something unprecedented. During the 2019 to 2020 Black Summer fires, smoke traveled 11,000 km. That's 6,835 m detected over South America.

The fires burned so hot and so vast they altered weather patterns across the Pacific Ocean. Behind every statistic is a human life hanging in the balance. Right now, tens of thousands of Australians are living within evacuation zones. Their cars packed, their phones charged, waiting for the call that could come at any moment.

It's too late to leave.

The central coast of New South Wales, home to over 330,000 people, sits directly in the path of multiple active fires. Families are watching smoke columns rise from their bedroom windows. Children are asking their parents why the sky is orange at noon. Elderly residents, many with limited mobility, are being warned they may need to shelter in place if evacuation becomes impossible.

5.00

In Tasmania, entire communities have been cut off. Dolphin Sands residents have been told not to return home. There may not be homes to return to. Emergency centers are filled with families clutching photo albums and family pets. Everything else reduced to memory.

One Kulawong resident standing in the ashes of what was once his life tells reporters, "We start again. We've lost everything. What we've got left is what we're wearing." His voice doesn't break. There's no emotion left, just hollow acceptance.

Federal MP Gordon Reed puts it simply, "That's people's lives. That's people's livelihoods." But the numbers make it real. During the Black Summer Fires of 2019 2020, 65,000 people were displaced in New South Wales alone. Thousands were evacuated by naval ships from beaches where they sheltered for days as fires raged behind them and ocean stretched endlessly ahead.

The experts are choosing their words carefully, but their alarm is unmistakable. Emergency Management Minister Christy McBain speaks with quiet reverence about firefighters. WH run towards bushfires to protect not only property but livestock and livelihoods. There's something in her tone the way she emphasizes run towards that suggests she knows what they're truly running into.

Climate scientists are no longer hedging their warnings. Associate Professor Paul Ridd issues a direct alert. The fires burning in the WA Kimberly and central NS dollar's coast should be watched carefully as a signal to the rest of Australia as we head into the peak danger period over January. When scientists use words like signal and peak danger period, they're not talking about seasonal variations. They're talking about systemic collapse.

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NSW recovery minister Janelle Saffin frames the current crisis with careful precision. While we continue to contain the fires that have impacted communities across NS dollars, our priority is also to support those people whose homes and livelihoods have been impacted. Notice the word continue. This isn't an emergency response. It's an ongoing war. One volunteer firefighter with 20 years of experience told reporters during the Black Summer Fires, "I've never seen fires this fierce. They create their own storms."

When veterans describe conditions as unprecedented, it's not hyperbole. It's a professional assessment of forces beyond human control. The pattern is unmistakable and accelerating.

3 years ago, fire seasons followed predictable patterns. 2 years ago, those patterns began breaking down. Last year, fires burned in months when the landscape should have been wet. This year, December fires are raging with summer intensity, while spring hasn't even ended. The data shows a terrifying trend.

In October 2023, Anistales recorded 87 fires in a single day. Emergency declarations that once marked rare extreme events are becoming routine administrative procedures. Fire danger ratings that were once reserved for the worst days of summer now flash across screens in what should be the cooler months.

The window for safe prescribed burning, the controlled fires used to reduce fuel loads, is shrinking rapidly. Traditional burnoff periods are now interrupted by extended danger periods where any spark could trigger disaster. Fire services describe seasonal patterns as increasingly ignored by outofse severe fires.

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Weather systems are becoming more volatile. El Nino conditions are driving early heat waves and elevated fire risk months ahead of the traditional danger period. The Bureau of Meteorology reports extreme fire weather days are becoming more frequent and intense across the continent. What's happening now isn't seasonal variation. It's systematic breakdown of the climate patterns that made Australia predictable for thousands of years.

The last time Australia faced fires this devastating was Black Summer 2019 to 2020. 7 months of continuous burning. 33 people dead. Over 3,000 homes destroyed. An area the size of the entire United Kingdom consumed by flames. 19 to 24.3 million hectares burned across the continent. Those fires redefined what was possible.

NASA satellites tracked smoke plumes circling the globe. Naval vessels evacuated thousands from beaches as entire towns disappeared behind walls of flame. The insurance industry paid out $2.4 billion Australian dollars. That's $1.6 billion US. And experts estimate the total economic damage exceeded 10 billion.

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Black Summer was described as a once in many decades event, the kind of disaster that comes once in a lifetime, maybe twice. That was 5 years ago. Official alert levels remain carefully measured, but the response tells a different story. Natural disaster declarations are active across multiple regions. Over 300 firefighters are deployed on the central coast alone. Numbers typically reserved for the height of summer emergencies. The NS Adidal's Rural Fire Service maintains 70,000 volunteers on standby. A peacetime army waiting for orders. Emergency management centers are operating around the clock. Evacuation centers remain open, their parking lots filled with cars packed with possessions and pets.

Behind the measured language of official statements, the preparation is telling. Federal disaster assistance funding has been activated. Military assets are positioned for rapid deployment. International firefighting resources are on alert. The same networks that responded during Black Summer are quietly mobilizing. Weather forecasts show damaging winds continuing across Tasmania with some NS. Towns expected to exceed 40° C. That's 104° F. These aren't seasonal peaks. These are December temperatures that would be extreme in the height of summer.

Fire services describe current conditions as extremely challenging. When professionals WH fight fires for a living, call conditions extremely challenging, citizens should be afraid. The scenarios range from manageable to catastrophic, and no one can predict which path these fires will take. Best case, weather patterns shift, temperatures drop, and current fires are contained without further loss of life or property. Communities begin the long process of recovery and rebuilding.

But the worst case scenarios keep fire chiefs awake at night. If winds strengthen and temperatures continue rising, the current fires could merge into mega blazes, covering thousands of square kilometers. Pyroucumulan nimbus storms could spawn lightning strikes that ignite new fires faster than crews can respond.

Tasmania faces particular vulnerability. The island's unique alpine ecosystems and fires sensitive rainforests have evolved without regular fire exposure. If current blazes spread into these areas, entire ecological systems could face permanent change, not recovery, but transformation into something entirely different. NS Hollywood's central coast sits between ocean and wilderness, a geographic trap that limits evacuation routes.

If multiple fires converge, hundreds of thousands of people could face the same impossible choice that Black Summer survivors remember. Flee to the beaches and hope naval rescue arrives in time.

Climate scientists warn that Australia has entered an era where extreme fire seasons are becoming normal. What's happening now may not be an emergency. It may be the new baseline. This story has no ending because the threat never stops. As of this recording, over 50 fires continue burning. Weather conditions remain extreme. Evacuation warnings stay active across multiple regions. Emergency crews work in shifts because the danger doesn't sleep. The deeper truth is even more unsettling.

Australia's fire problem isn't seasonal anymore. It's permanent. The 1.5° temperature increase since 1910 has fundamentally altered the continent's fire behavior. Eucalyptus forests designed to burn now burn too hot and too often for their own survival. Fire services openly discuss almost year round occurrence of significant fire danger. The traditional fire season in December to March has stretched into a fire year that pauses briefly for winter before resuming its assault. Recovery periods between major fires are shrinking while fire intensity continues growing.

Every day these fires burn, they pump more carbon into the atmosphere, accelerating the warming that makes the next fire season more deadly. And it's a feedback loop without a clear exit. Fires causing climate change, causing more fires, causing more climate change. The question facing Australia isn't when these fires will end. It's whether they'll ever truly end again. Right now, smoke is rising across Australia. Families are evacuating. Firefighters are dying. And the conditions that created this disaster are getting worse, not better. This isn't over. It's just beginning. Stay alert. Keep watching because Australia is still burning. END
[KE: Everything climate scientists predicted about global warming/ climate change since the 1970s is coming true, only faster]