Study shows everything climate scientists predicted since 1970s is coming true as seen in European fires this summer; Heating Planet

As forest fires ravaged more than 2.4 million acres of land in the European Union this summer., study finds "heat waves of similar intensity will occur every 13 years compared to every 2500 years and wildfires are likely to recur every 15 years due to today's climate, 1.3° C higher compared to pre-industrial levels when such events would be expected to occur every 500 years." Scientists analyzed daily severity rating- Watch "Iberian wildfires more likely to recur due to climate change" REUTERS video/ transcript below: 

CofA Blog first reported on this AET study earlier this week here; it analyzes the interaction of "climate, vegetation, soil moisture, and the amount of available water and presents the annual water balance between precipitation and latent heat exchange" according to Google

   

The hot, dry, and windy weather that 0:03 fueled Spain's worst wildfires in at 0:05 least three decades this summer are 40 0:08 times more likely to recur due to 0:10 humancaused climate change. That's 0:13 according to analysis from World Weather 0:15 Attribution, an international 0:17 collaboration that has conducted over 0:20 110 studies on the possible influence of 0:22 climate change on extreme weather 0:24 events. Weather data analyzed by a group 0:28 of 13 scientists found that the extreme 0:31 conditions that drove last month's fires 0:33 in the northwest of the Iberian 0:35 Peninsula, including Portugal, were 0:37 likely to recur every 15 years due to 0:40 today's climate. The climate is 1.3° C 0:44 higher compared to pre-industrial levels 0:47 when such events would be expected to 0:49 occur every 500 years. The scientists 0:52 analyze the daily severity rating, a 0:55 metric that considers temperature, 0:57 humidity, windspeed, and rain to 0:59 estimate the potential intensity of a 1:01 wildfire and how difficult it will be to 1:04 extinguish. Forest fires ravaged more 1:06 than 2.4 million acres of land in the 1:09 European Union this summer, with Spain 1:12 and Portugal accounting for about 2/3 of 1:15 that total. The fires killed at least 1:17 eight people, forced the evacuation of 1:20 thousands, and shut railway and motorway 1:23 traffic in several areas. They coincided 1:26 with a 16-day heat wave that was the 1:29 most intense since records began. The 1:32 study found that heat waves of similar 1:34 intensity will occur every 13 years 1:37 compared to every 2500 years in a world 1:40 without man-made climate change. 

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STUDY story at CofA Blog earlier this week: 

https://cityofangels25.blogspot.com/2025/09/aet-study-global-walming-behind-europes.html

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