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Wednesday, September 10, 2025

"Vicious cycle of melting" as Thwaites Antarctic glacier collapses fast; Southern Hemisphere nears summer; Heating Planet at CofA Blog

Watch "as the grounding line retreats further inland, it encounters deeper and deeper water, which allows even more warm water to attack the glacier underbelly. It's a runaway feedback loop, a vicious cycle of melting-a glacier the size of the state of Florida is stirring. Scientists who study this colossal river of ice have given it an ominous nickname, the doomsday glacier" Geology Watch report:  New Study Reveals The Doomsday Glacier Is Collapsing Faster Than We Thought August 2025 transcript below

   
At the very bottom of our world lies a 0:02 continent of extremes, a place of 0:05 profound beauty and unforgiving cold, 0:08 Antarctica. It is the most remote and 0:11 hostile environment on Earth. An immense 0:14 desert of ice holding 70% of the 0:17 planet's fresh water. For centuries, we 0:20 saw it as a static frozen giant, 0:23 unchanging and eternal. We were wrong. 0:26 Buried deep in the western part of this 0:28 continent, a single piece of ice, a 0:31 glacier the size of the state of 0:33 Florida, is stirring. Scientists who 0:36 study this colossal river of ice have 0:39 given it an ominous nickname, the 0:41 doomsday glacier. Please, before we 0:44 continue, please subscribe and like. For 0:47 decades, we knew it was melting, 0:49 retreating at a steady pace. But that 0:51 steady pace is gone. New terrifying data 0:55 captured by robotic submarines in the 0:57 dark ocean beneath the ice reveals the 1:00 situation is far more unstable than our 1:02 worst models predicted. The internal 1:04 structure of the glacier is failing and 1:06 its final collapse may not be a problem 1:08 for our grandchildren but one that 1:11 begins in our lifetime. To understand 1:13 the danger, we first have to understand 1:16 the mechanics. The Thuait Glacier isn't 1:18 just a block of ice sitting on land. 1:21 It's a dynamic river of ice flowing from 1:23 the heart of the continent into the 1:25 Ammonson Sea. The front portion of the 1:28 glacier floats out over the ocean, 1:30 creating a massive platform of ice known 1:32 as an ice shelf. This shelf acts like a 1:35 cork in a bottle, bracing the glacier 1:38 behind it and slowing its flow into the 1:40 sea. The entire system stability depends 1:44 on one critical point, the grounding 1:46 line. This is the exact location where 1:49 the glacier lifts off the bedrock and 1:52 begins to float. For a stable glacier, 1:55 this line should remain in roughly the 1:57 same place. But the grounding line of 1:59 thuates is in full retreat. The culprit 2:03 is a force from the deep. Unusually 2:05 warm, salty ocean water, a current 2:08 called the circumpolar deep water, has 2:10 found its way onto the continental 2:12 shelf. It's now circulating directly 2:15 beneath the ice shelf, melting the 2:17 glacier from the bottom up. Imagine a 2:20 frozen fortress, seemingly impenetrable 2:23 from above, being silently eroded from 2:25 its very foundations. 2:27 Scientists first identified Thuait as a 2:30 potential threat in the 1970s, noting 2:32 the unique downward sloping bedrock 2:35 beneath it. This means that as the 2:37 grounding line retreats further inland, 2:39 it encounters deeper and deeper water, 2:41 which allows even more warm water to 2:44 attack the glaciers underbelly. It's a 2:46 runaway feedback loop, a vicious cycle 2:48 of melting and retreat that once started 2:51 is nearly impossible to stop. For years, 2:55 our understanding of this underwater 2:57 melting was based on satellite data and 2:59 computer models. But we had never seen 3:01 it with our own eyes. To change that, an 3:05 international team of scientists 3:06 embarked on a dangerous expedition to 3:09 the front line of the glacier. They 3:11 drilled through half a kilometer of ice 3:13 to deploy an underwater robot named Ice 3:16 Fin into the darkness below. And what it 3:19 found was shocking. The robot's cameras 3:22 and sensors revealed a world of chaos. 3:25 The underside of the glacier wasn't a 3:27 smooth, uniform surface. It was a 3:30 landscape of deep canyons, terrace 3:32 slopes, and massive fissures. A sign 3:35 that the warm ocean water was melting 3:38 the ice in complex and aggressive ways. 3:41 The melting wasn't just happening at the 3:42 grounding line. It was happening all 3:44 across the bottom of the ice shelf. But 3:47 the most alarming discovery was the 3:49 extent of the internal damage. These 3:52 fissures and cracks weren't just on the 3:54 surface. They were cutting up through 3:55 the entire thickness of the ice shelf. 3:58 The warm water is infiltrating these 4:00 cracks, widening them and weakening the 4:03 structural integrity of the ice from the 4:05 inside out. The lead scientists now 4:07 believe the ice shelf could shatter like 4:09 a car windshield. It won't be a slow, 4:12 graceful melt. It could be a rapid, 4:15 catastrophic disintegration. Their 4:18 latest models based on this new data 4:20 suggest this final shattering of the 4:22 protective ice shelf could happen in as 4:24 little as 5 to 10 years. Once that 4:27 barrier is gone, the cork is out of the 4:29 bottle and the massive glacier behind it 4:31 will be free to accelerate its flow into 4:33 the ocean. The numbers are difficult to 4:36 comprehend. The collapse of the Thuait's 4:38 glacier by itself contains enough ice to 4:42 raise global sea levels by over 2 ft or 4:45 65 cm. This alone would be devastating, 4:49 redrawing coastlines and causing 4:51 trillions of dollars in damage to 4:53 coastal cities like Miami, Jakarta, and 4:56 Venice. But that is only the beginning 4:58 of the doomsday scenario. Thuait is the 5:01 weak link, the gateway to the entire 5:03 West Antarctic ice sheet. If Thuait 5:06 goes, it will destabilize the glaciers 5:08 surrounding it, triggering a chain 5:10 reaction of collapse. That larger ice 5:13 sheet holds enough water to raise global 5:15 sea levels by a truly catastrophic 10 ft 5:19 or 3 m. An entire global civilization 5:23 built on the stability of our coastlines 5:25 would be thrown into chaos. This isn't a 5:28 distant threat for a far-off future 5:30 generation. The new data shows the 5:32 process is already underway, happening 5:35 faster than we ever thought possible. 5:38 The fate of our world's coastal cities 5:40 may not be decided in parliaments or 5:42 boardrooms, but by the physics of a 5:44 single colossal glacier at the bottom of 5:46 the world. It serves as a stark and 5:49 powerful reminder that the great forces 5:51 of our planet are interconnected and a 5:54 change in one remote corner can be felt 5:57 by us all. The doomsday glacier is 6:00 sending a warning and we must.

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